Geopolitical Sentiment and Effects

Real-time Geopolitical Sentiment Data for Investors

CONVERT GEOPOLITICAL UNCERTAINTY INTO INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY

In today’s interconnected markets, geopolitical events can move prices faster than ever. Permutable’s Geopolitical Sentiment and Effects dataset helps institutional investors, hedge funds, and asset managers quantify and act on these shifts with confidence.

Our AI-powered intelligence platform analyses thousands of global sources in real time, detecting international tensions, policy decisions, trade conflicts, and political developments that shape energy, currency, and commodity markets.

With our Global Political Tension Index, users can directly measure the impact of geopolitical risk on key assets and sectors – from crude oil and metals to FX pairs – identifying correlations before they become market consensus.

Backed by over a decade of structured geopolitical event data, Permutable provides deep historical coverage for backtesting and strategy development. Our real-time API ensures millisecond delivery, allowing integration into quantitative trading systems, dashboards, and risk models with ease.

SEE CASE STUDY

Permutable's geopolitical intelligence feed has become a key input to our macro strategy desk.

Global Macro Strategist, Global Hedge Fund

Permutable Financial Assets Dashboard

Technical Overview

Contact us at enquiries@permutable.ai

Permutable's Geopolitical intelligence offers critical insights into how global political events and shifting international relations impact financial markets. Our system tracks key geopolitical indices, analyses the effects of political developments on asset classes such as energy and currencies, and monitors fiscal policy changes influenced by the geopolitical landscape. By providing real-time data, sentiment analysis, and AI-powered event detection related to political tension, elections, trade disruptions, and international conflicts, we empower institutional investors to navigate market volatility and make informed decisions. The platform allows users to visualise trends, such as the Global Political Tension Index, and understand the direct impact on assets like crude oil and currency pairs, leveraging comprehensive datasets and advanced analytical tools.

War Index Political Tension Last 12 Months

Implementation Use Cases

Track Geopolitical Indices & Asset Correlation

Monitor key geopolitical risk indices and their direct correlation with financial assets. Understand how events like elections, international tensions, and policy shifts influence market movements.

Real-time Geopolitical Tension Index tracking.
Analysis of political impact on energy prices (e.g., Crude Oil).
Correlation studies for currency pairs (e.g., USD/JPY, EUR/USD).

Analyse Fiscal Policy in a Geopolitical Context

Gain insights into how government spending, taxation, and stimulus packages are shaped by or react to geopolitical events and international relations.

Monitoring of fiscal stimulus and sovereign credit risk.
Impact assessment of policy changes on economic stability.
Tracking government responses to global political shifts.

Leverage Geopolitical Event Data & History

Utilise extensive historical geopolitical event data for backtesting strategies and understanding long-term trends. Identify how past events have shaped current market conditions.

Access to 10+ years of structured geopolitical event data.
Systematic testing of event-driven trading strategies.
Analysis of news narratives surrounding political events.

Permutable Co-Pilot API enables programmatic access to structured news data with millisecond latency and enterprise-grade reliability. Full documentation is available at https://copilot-api.permutable.ai/redoc, including Python, R, and Java client libraries with webhook support.

API Reference

GET /v1/macro/sentiment/V1
Retrieves aggregated sentiment data for macroeconomic topics over a specified date range. Filters by news sources and strictness of extraction time are available. V1 of the macro topic sentiment data.

GET /v1/macro/sentiment/V1

Parameters

Name Description
start_date
string (date-time, query)
 Start date to filter by. Must be less than 30 days ago.
end_date
string (date-time, query)
 End date to filter by. Must be less than 30 days ago.
sources
array<string> (query)
 List of sources to filter by. Get these from GET /sources.
strict
boolean (query)
 Only consider articles that were extracted within the hourly decision window. Articles found after the window but published within are disregarded. Useful when aligning with live data during historic lookbacks.
Default value: false

Responses

Code Description Links
200 Successful Response No links

Response Example

{
  "macro": {
    "publication_time": "2022-01-01T01:00:00",
    "sentiment_count": 1,
    "sentiment_sum": -1.96829731437383,
    "subtopic": "Political-Tension",
    "topic": "Politics"
  }
}
API Documentation

Sample Data (Sentiment Aggregate)



Geopolitical Sentiment Data Feeds FAQ

Permutable’s Geopolitical Sentiment datasets are designed for institutional investors, including hedge funds, asset managers, sovereign wealth funds, and investment banks. They are built to support macro strategy, event-driven trading, risk management, and policy research, providing structured, real-time intelligence that enhances both discretionary and systematic decision-making.

Unlike static news feeds or terminal-based alerts, our platform structures and quantifies sentiment from over 10,000 trusted sources in real time. We go beyond headline monitoring – our AI models extract cause-and-effect relationships between political events and asset movements, allowing institutions to model and anticipate the market impact of global developments.

Yes. Our event-level sentiment data and correlation metrics are designed to plug directly into quantitative models and dashboards via API. Many clients report measurable improvements in signal accuracy and speed of execution once geopolitical variables are incorporated into their workflows.

Each signal includes source transparency, confidence scores, and timestamped sentiment tracking, ensuring data quality and explainability. Our methodology has been validated across multiple asset classes — from energy and metals to FX and sovereign debt – and is trusted by institutional users who require consistency, precision, and defensibility.

All geopolitical sentiment data is updated in near real-time, with hourly refreshes and millisecond API delivery. This ensures investors can respond instantly to evolving global events such as elections, trade tensions, or policy shifts that move markets.

Yes. While the data is invaluable for event-driven and macro trading, it is also widely used by risk management, compliance, strategy, and policy teams to model geopolitical exposure, stress-test portfolios, and anticipate systemic disruptions.

Absolutely. Our enterprise-grade API supports seamless integration with existing trading, analytics, and risk management systems. We provide full documentation, Python, R, and Java client libraries, and webhook support to make deployment straightforward for in-house or third-party teams.

Yes. Our automated signal detection identifies story breakouts, narrative buildups, and shifts in sentiment tied to key market drivers such as OPEC+ policy, production outages, or sanctions. Traders can receive real-time alerts when story clusters reach momentum thresholds – often hours before the broader market responds.

Yes. While this dataset focuses on global geopolitical sentiment, it integrates smoothly with our BRICS and G7 macroeconomic feeds, providing a holistic global intelligence framework that helps institutions map interconnected risks across developed and emerging economies.

Yes. Clients can access 10+ years of structured geopolitical data to test hypotheses, train models, and validate performance across different market regimes. The historical dataset supports systematic research, correlation analysis, and long-horizon strategy development.

Yes. We offer tailored demonstrations and sample data feeds so you can evaluate how our geopolitical sentiment intelligence integrates into your workflow. Contact our team at enquiries@permutable.ai to request a live demo.

Anticipate global shocks before they hit the markets. Request access to our real-time geopolitical intelligence feed and turn uncertainty into opportunity.

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