Philippines: Energy Inflation Risk and the Monetary Policy Trilemma

Philippines Energy Inflation Risk

This article examines how Permutable’s Regional Macro Indices captured the return of energy inflation risk in the Philippines, and how that shift is now reshaping the country’s macro outlook. The central argument is straightforward: the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas is being forced into a narrower and less forgiving policy choice between inflation control, currency stability … Read more

How shipping risk became the dominant driver in global oil markets

Shipping Risk

In this article we dive into how real-time shipping sentiment signalled the Hormuz crisis before Brent repriced, and what the data is telling energy traders and risk teams right now. For those tracking geopolitical regimes and building trade signals around narrative transitions, this is what using sentiment intelligence to gain structural edge in energy markets … Read more

How can workflow provide an edge in volatile markets and reduce opportunity cost of limited clarity? 

volatile markets

This article examines how structured workflow provides a competitive edge in volatile markets by reducing the opportunity cost created by limited clarity. It is aimed at hedge fund portfolio managers, macro strategists, quantitative teams and risk desks seeking to convert high-volume narrative flow into structured, trade-relevant signals and act before regime shifts are fully priced … Read more

USD/JPY outlook: Regime shifts, rate cycles and macro sentiment (2016-2026)

USD/JPY Outlook

In this article, we analyse USD/JPY through the lens of domestic US and Japan rates sentiment, testing whether FX has kept pace with the compression in the 2-year spread. For discretionary macro and systematic desks, we combine bond market pricing with cross-sectional policy analysis to assess whether the next regime shift is already underway, or … Read more

UK economic sentiment signals fragile 2026 outlook

UK economic sentiment

This article analyses the latest slowdown in UK economic growth, showing how shifts in UK economic sentiment anticipated the Q4 stall before official GDP data confirmed it. Aimed at macro investors, systematic trading desks and policy professionals, it explains how real-time sentiment signals provide a forward-looking edge on UK momentum heading into 2026. The UK’s … Read more

Precious metals market outlook Q1 2026: From panic to patch-up

Precious metal market outlook

In this article, we unpack gold and silver’s late-January surge and abrupt early-February reversal, with the precious metals market outlook for 2026 in view. The spark came from a repricing of Fed expectations, firmer real yields and a stronger dollar, but the more revealing story sat in the market’s plumbing. Margin pressure, limits and forced … Read more

China macroeconomic indicators and economic outlook 2026: Growth delivered, domestic demand still catching up

China macroeconomic indicators

This article takes a closer look at what China macroeconomic indicators are signalling as the cycle turns into 2026. We set the official prints alongside regional macro sentiment indices to separate headline stabilisation from genuine improvement, and to gauge whether domestic confidence is building or still absent. It is aimed at macroeconomists, strategists and investors … Read more

German economic sentiment: Why narrative explains what the data can’t

Macroeconomic Sentiment

In this article, we examine why Germany’s macro stabilisation has not translated into market conviction, and what German political sentiment and German economic sentiment reveal about the disconnect. Inflation has cooled back towards target territory, delivering the first sub-2% print since late 2024. The European Central Bank has, for now, closed the tightening chapter. Bund … Read more

Venezuela Risk Pulse one month on: How sentiment signals flagged escalating geopolitical risk

Venezuela Sentiment Signals

This article analyses how Permutable AI’s sentiment signals identified escalating geopolitical risk around Venezuela before it was fully priced by markets. Aimed at macro investors, risk managers, commodities desks and policymakers, it explains how narrative clustering and velocity of sentiment signals now drives cross-asset repricing, highlighting why FX, havens and credit reacted ahead of oil … Read more

Silver market outlook 2026: December’s squeeze and the silver lining

silver market outlook 2026

In this article, we look at silver’s early December breakout and what truly carried prices to fresh highs, with the silver market outlook 2026 firmly in view. A softer dollar and easing rate expectations helped light the fuse, but the more revealing story sat in the market’s plumbing. Deliverability, margin discipline and a rapid repricing … Read more