The geopolitical risk premium takes centre stage as energy markets rally

Geopolitical risk

In this article, we examine how a wave of geopolitical developments has reshaped the landscape across global energy markets. From renewed pressure on Russian energy to the unveiling of a US-EU energy pact, the past week has marked a decisive shift in the drivers of oil and gas prices. Against this backdrop, our Trading Co-Pilot … Read more

Key geo political issues 2025: 8 global flashpoints investors can’t ignore

geo political issues

This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the most critical breaking geo political issues 2025 at time of writing and their profound impact on global markets, providing institutional investors with strategic insights for navigating unprecedented political risk. It is aimed at institutional investors, portfolio and macro strategists, risk managers, commodities and energy traders, and global research … Read more

Dovish noise, hawkish policy: Sentiment at the heart of the 2025 Fed monetary policy debate

Monetary Policy

In this article, we explore how shifts in monetary policy sentiment often lead Federal Reserve decisions. The chart tracks hawkish and dovish headline volumes from January 2018 to July 2025, mapped against the Fed Funds Rate. This timeline aligns with Chair Powell’s tenure, offering a focused view of how media tone and policy have interacted … Read more

US Treasuries Pivot: Tracking policy repricing in real time

US Treasuries

This article explores how the 2-year T-note became the focal point of a short-duration rally and subsequent reversal, and how our Trading Co-Pilot tracked both in real time. From detecting the initial bullish pivot in mid-July to flagging the slowdown as macro headwinds emerged, our Trading Co-Pilot continues to provide institutional investors with a distinct … Read more

Japan’s economy at a crossroads: Political risk, bond market stress, and the Yen’s decline

Japan’s economy

In this article, we explore Japan’s growing macro fragility as political uncertainty, surging bond yields, and a structurally weaker yen reshape investor sentiment. With JGB yields at multi-decade highs and the yen hitting record lows against major currencies, markets are undergoing a decisive re-pricing of risk. Amid this volatility, our Trading Co-Pilot has been able … Read more

New study: Trade sentiment as the new market driver amidst escalating global tariffs

global tariffs

At Permutable, we’re redefining how investors navigate market volatility. As shocks from global tariffs and geopolitical headlines increasingly drive near-instant market reactions, traditional economic indicators arrive too late to inform timely decisions. Built for this new era, Permutable’s Trade Sentiment Index (TSI) quantifies the tone, direction, and momentum of trade-related news in real time, across … Read more

Geopolitical news and analysis: Leveraging political intelligence for strategic investment advantage

geopolitical news

This article explores how sophisticated geopolitical news and analysis capabilities enable institutional investors to convert political uncertainty into strategic advantage through AI-powered intelligence platforms. It is aimed at institutional investors, risk managers, portfolio strategists, and financial professionals seeking to enhance their geopolitical risk assessment and investment decision-making capabilities. The landscape of institutional investing has fundamentally shifted, … Read more

Political risk: Our latest Political Tension Index analysis reveals systemic global instability

political risk

We have released our comprehensive 12-month analysis from the Political Tension Sentiment Index, revealing that global political sentiment has remained overwhelmingly negative throughout the period – driven by sustained trade conflicts, high-profile leadership events, and frequent diplomatic flashpoints. Our Index, which leverages advanced machine learning to track sentiment across thousands of headlines in near real … Read more

Factors affecting coffee prices: A deep dive into the recent market rally

factors affecting coffee prices

Understanding the factors affecting coffee prices has never been more key, especially as we look at the recent coffee market rally when coffee prices began their  ascent towards 400 USD. According to our Trading Co-Pilot’s analysis, multiple interconnected factors drove this surge, creating a complex web of market influences that continues to shape the coffee … Read more

Trump’s first week in office: A look at initial impacts on commodity markets

Trump's first week in office

Trump’s first week in office has made for choppy times across commodity markets, with executive orders and announcements coming fix and fast out of the Trump administration effecting energy, precious metals, and agricultural commodities alike. In these early days as the market adjusts to these new policy announcements, perhaps the hardest part is quantifying the … Read more